As some mayoral contestants amass huge contributions, four out of five Power Poll voters believe the city should keep limiting candidate expenditures and individual contributions.
And almost half of all participants said that one recent donation — a $300,000 contribution on behalf of Cindy Chavez by the San Francisco 49ers — actually makes them less likely to support the county supervisor’s mayoral bid.
Meanwhile, almost 90 percent of voters in the latest San Jose Inside Power Poll expressed concern about Elon Musk’s successful offer to acquire Twitter, with almost twice as many respondents favoring content moderation over uncontrolled free speech.
More than half of all voters also said that Sen. Dianne Feinstein should step aside following a recent report that the 88-year-old senator’s cognitive abilities have declined so much that she is having a hard time fulfilling her duties.
Finally, more than 60 percent of respondents want the Santa Clara Valley Transportation Authority to carry forward plans to bring BART to downtown San Jose, whether by transferring funds from other budgets or raising taxes.
Here are the specific questions and responses to our poll:
Independent expenditure committees associated with labor, the mayor and the San Francisco 49ers are piling up massive amounts of money to spend in the race to succeed Sam Liccardo as mayor. Given this activity, should San Jose continue to limit candidate expenditures and individual contributions?
- Yes — 80% (47)
- No — 10% (6)
- No opinion/don’t care — 10% (6
The Santa Clara-based 49ers just announced a $300,000 independent expenditure that will be spent to produce campaign materials for County Supervisor Cindy Chavez’s mayoral bid. Does this make you more or less likely to vote for Chavez?
- Less — 47% (28)
- Neither — 41% (24)
- More — 10% (6)
- No opinion/don't care — 2% (1)
Elon Musk has a deal to buy Twitter and take it private. The billionaire’s comments suggest that he supports a more free-wheeling environment on the social media platform, which banned Donald Trump after the Jan. 6 Capitol riot and has increasingly policed posts in the realms of politics, climate change and Covid-19. What are your thoughts? Rank the statements you agree with, with 1 being your highest priority:
- Social media platforms should not let people spread misinformation and lies — Score 6.9245 (47)
- We almost lost our democracy last year due in part to lies spread by social media — Score 6 (44)
- Uh oh; earth’s richest man now owns one of its key communications platforms — Score 4.434 (37)
- European regulators are going to have some fun with Elon’s Twitter — Score 3.1509 (30)
- Musk is right; free speech is essential for a functioning democracy — Score 3.1321 (29)
- Thumbs up; speech should be free on Twitter — Score 2.5472 (27)
- Social media is a virus that I do my best to ignore — Score 2.5472 (27)
- Time to start the death watch for Trump’s new social media platform — Score 2.3585 (26)
- Donald Trump should be allowed to return to Twitter — Score 1.1887 (24)
The San Francisco Chronicle recently quoted members of Congress and former aides who believe that Dianne Feinstein, California’s 88-year-old senior U.S. senator, is increasingly unable to fulfill her duties due to her rapidly deteriorating cognitive abilities. The article cited numerous recent cases in which Feinstein’s declining memory seemed to impair her performance. Should Dianne Feinstein retire?
- I think so — 52% (30)
- Let her serve out her term in dignity — 31% (18)
- I have no idea — 12% (7)
- I’d support her if she ran for reelection — 2% (1)
- No opinion/don’t care — 3% (2)
The Santa Clara Valley Transportation Authority recently acknowledged that it may fall more than $1 billion short of the funding needed to bring BART trains to downtown San Jose and also lacks the funds to operate the stops in Milpitas and Berryessa. How should the agency deal with this situation?
- Transfer funding from other agency budgets to keep the plans on schedule — 42% (25)
- Ask voters to increase taxes to pay for BART — 20% (12)
- Delay the BART extension until funds and ridership materialize — 17% (10)
- Stop throwing good money after bad — cancel BART to downtown — 10% (6)
- I have no idea — 8% (5)
- No opinion/don’t care — 2% (1)
Analysis of Questions 1 and 2
San Jose residents have long supported restrictions on campaign contributions. But the notion that accepting a large donation might actually work against a candidate’s interest adds a new wrinkle to this issue. .
A surprising 47 percent of respondents said they are less likely to support Supervisor Chavez’ bid to be mayor after the San Francisco 49ers donated $300,000 to an independent committee created in her behalf. Only one in 10 voters said they were more likely to support Chavez due to the donation.
That size donation will no doubt help Chavez reach many thousands of potential voters who won’t have any idea who backed her campaign. In 2020, the team spent $3 million to elect a new, pro-49ers majority in Santa Clara, shaking up the city’s always-fractious politics in the process.
Early donor reports suggest that our own mayor’s race is well on its way to breaking all prior records for political spending in the city.
Analysis of Question 3
Just a few years ago, one might have expected Silicon Valley opinion leaders to take an overwhelmingly positive view of the news that a tech investor and CEO with libertarian leanings was poised to restore open discourse to a major communications platform. The results of question 3 show how profoundly the politics of free speech were transformed during the reign of Donald Trump.
No other ranked-choice answer in San Jose Power Poll history has ever received a higher score than the proposition that social media platforms should “not let people spread information and lies.” Panelists are obviously quite concerned about the seemingly imminent collision between Twitter’s increasingly muscular content moderation and Musk’s apparent desire for a much more laissez-faire approach toward what used to be known as “editing.”
No surprise that the answer receiving least support from our panel was the notion that Trump should be allowed to return to the platform. Of course, the former president, now attempting to be a social media mogul himself, has vowed not to return to Twitter even if Musk allows it. According to the New York Post, Vegas oddsmakers say there’s a 90 percent chance that’s a lie.
Analysis of Question 4
We also asked our simultaneous Oakland poll whether California’s senior U.S. senator should retire, and the two panels mirrored one another’s responses. Where 52 percent of San Jose voters believe that Di Fi should step down, 52 percent of Oakland respondents believe she should serve out her term. San Jose trends pragmatic where Oakland trends political — same as it ever was.
Analysis of Question 5
Even as the VTA reveals that it may need more than $1 billion to plug the funding shortfall needed to bring BART to downtown San Jose, support for that goal remains strong among our panel. But the devil’s in the details.
In this month’s poll, 42 percent of voters want the agency to find that money in one of its other budgets. That number almost certainly would have been lower if our poll had spelled out which specific budgets might be eyed for cuts.
Meanwhile, just 20 percent said they would support a tax increase to find this colossal sum of money. That tiny level of support suggests that taxes are not the solution to the VTA’s woes. Although only 17 percent of voters favor further delays, waiting longer for the train to arrive in downtown seems the most likely course of action.
San Jose Inside Power Poll is not a scientific poll. Rather, we ask questions of influential people with a wide range of viewpoints to help advance informed dialogue about the city. Power Poll is studiously non-partisan.
A NO vote from me for Cindy Chavez for 2 reasons. The 300k from the 49rd is a turn off and her association to Carl guardino. I will NOT be voting for Cindy chavez
Why would the 49ers care who the mayor of San Jose is, they are in Santa Clara.
It’s arguably the “Largest” political office in the County
Even billionaires awash in cash don’t just give “gifts” or “donations” to elected leaders, as intimated by the wording in the above San Jose Inside piece. Like all business decision-making, Jed York and the 49ers are making calculated bets they fully expect to produce yields that will dwarf their initial “investments.” You can take that to the bank.
Their $3 million investment in the 2020 Santa Clara council elections (and their smaller investments in previous city elections) yielded a favorable majority that has already resulted in the firing of Santa Clara’s attorney and city manager, both bulwarks in the fights to defend the city against 49er violations of their contracts with the city’s Stadium Authority. Their replacements will no doubt be more amenable to the 49ers which translates into enhanced revenues or lower expenses for York and company (https://staging.sanjoseinside.com/news/santa-clara-city-council-fires-city-attorney-brian-doyle-for-no-cause/#comment-1706387; https://sanjosespotlight.com/santa-clara-sees-demographic-shift-population-growth-census-over-last-decade/#comment-90626).
York’s returns on investment are already starting to pile up. The court settlement reported in the linked article suggests the 49ers will save about $400,000 relative to what they would have had to pay under the previous city council membership (https://www.sportsbusinessjournal.com/Daily/Issues/2022/02/15/Facilities/49ers-parking.aspx). That’s more than one-eighth of what they “invested” in the 2020 council elections and they’re barely 17 months into the new council’s term. There is outstanding litigation–all of it initiated by the 49ers against the city’s Stadium Authority that owns Levi’s Stadium, none of it initiated by the city. The litigation involves claims by the 49ers that could cost the Stadium Authority and the county taxpayers hundreds millions in lost revenues and property taxes and undermine the legal prerogatives of the Stadium Authority, a public agency serving the city (https://www.santaclaraca.gov/our-city/santa-clara-stadium-authority-litigation).
The $3 million York invested in the 2020 council campaigns will pay in spades. You can be sure that $300,000 “invested” in Cindy Chavez will be leveraged to do the same.